July 26, 2025
Car Prices are Skyrocketing

Car Prices are Skyrocketing

The auto industry just got a political jolt from Capitol Hill—and this time, it’s not more mandates or subsidies. It’s relief—at least for some. Buried inside the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), signed into law on July 4, 2025, is a new tax deduction that could help American car buyers save thousands in interest. But who really benefits—and who gets left behind?

Let’s break it down.

The new law allows buyers to deduct up to $10,000 in interest on auto loans for vehicles purchased between 2025 and 2028. That sounds great—especially in an era of soaring car prices and 7–9% loan rates. But this is Washington. There are strings attached.

To qualify, your vehicle must be:

  • New (not used)
  • Under 14,000 pounds
  • Assembled in the United States

In other words, this isn’t a universal benefit—it’s a targeted incentive meant to steer consumers toward U.S.-assembled cars, trucks, vans, motorcycles, and SUVs. That aligns with the broader goals of the OBBBA: rebuild domestic manufacturing, reward American labor, and reshape consumer behavior.

And the IRS will be watching. Buyers must list their vehicle’s VIN on their tax return to claim the deduction. The agency is expected to publish a list of eligible models—similar to how EV tax credits have been handled.


Good for Detroit, Good for Jobs

From a manufacturing standpoint, this is a strategic move. It encourages consumers to buy vehicles built on U.S. soil and supports the jobs behind them. Companies like Ford, GM, Tesla, Honda, and Toyota—all of which operate U.S. assembly plants—stand to benefit most. It may even motivate more foreign automakers to expand U.S. operations to qualify their vehicles.

That’s a win for American workers.

The “final assembly” requirement—meaning where the vehicle is physically completed—follows the same logic as the American Automobile Labeling Act, which requires transparency on where a vehicle is built. Expect dealers to begin highlighting which models qualify.

But that’s where the consensus ends.


Who Really Saves? Follow the Money

On paper, a deduction of up to $10,000 in interest sounds massive. But the actual benefit depends on how much you borrow—and how much you earn.

According to IRS rules, the deduction begins to phase out for higher earners:

  • Singles earning over $100,000
  • Joint filers earning over $200,000

For every $1,000 above those thresholds, the deduction drops by $200.

Even more crucially, the average car loan in 2025 is about $43,000. With current interest rates, most buyers will see $400 to $600 in annual tax savings—not a game-changer, but a modest reprieve.

Yes, it helps middle-class Americans. But it primarily benefits those in the 22% to 24% tax brackets who finance new, U.S.-assembled vehicles. In other words—not the working families who buy used cars or budget imports. And that’s where this policy hits its limits.


Used Cars Left Out — So Are Budget Buyers

Here’s the catch: used vehicles don’t qualify. That’s a big exclusion. In 2024, 80% of vehicles under $30,000 were either imported or used. That’s what many working-class families can afford—and they’re left out entirely.

So, while the policy supports domestic manufacturing, it also deepens the affordability gap. Lower-income Americans—who disproportionately rely on used or imported models—are excluded from this benefit.

If you’re buying a gently used Toyota Corolla or a 3-year-old Hyundai, you’re out of luck. But if you’re stretching your budget to buy a new Ford Explorer built in Chicago, the deduction is yours.


A Strategic Win for Trump-Era Policy

This provision also plays a broader strategic role: it complements the Trump administration’s 25% tariffs on imported cars and parts, aimed at pulling both production and consumption back to American soil. Those tariffs have already increased the price of imported vehicles by $2,000 to $5,000 in some cases.

This new deduction won’t cancel out those tariffs—but it helps offset the cost for buyers who “buy American.” That’s a politically shrewd trade-off.

And unlike past policies that funneled subsidies into EVs and global supply chains, this one chooses a different winner: U.S.-assembled gas-powered vehicles. In fact, the OBBBA eliminates EV tax credits altogether.

That’s a bold shift—and one likely to realign consumer behavior in the coming years.


What About Tesla?

Ironically, Tesla stands to benefit despite the EV credit rollback. With major U.S. production in California, Texas, and Nevada, Tesla’s vehicles still qualify for the new deduction. That gives the company a competitive advantage over EV rivals like Hyundai, Kia, and Volkswagen, which rely more heavily on overseas production.

In short, OBBBA eliminates green subsidies but rewards companies that manufacture domestically—even if they make EVs. That’s good news for Tesla; not so much for foreign EV makers.


Will This Drive Sales? Not Likely

Despite the buzz, this deduction is unlikely to meaningfully move the sales needle. The average buyer might save a few hundred dollars a year—but that may not be enough to influence a purchase decision in a market shaped more by tariffs, inflation, and interest rates than by tax codes.

Consumers still face high sticker prices, limited inventory, and rising loan payments. A modest deduction won’t solve those problems.


Final Take: A Smart Policy with Clear Limits

The car loan interest deduction in the Big Beautiful Bill is a targeted win for domestic automakers and American assembly workers. It rewards U.S. manufacturing, encourages consumers to buy American, and supports broader trade and industrial policy goals.

But it doesn’t solve affordability. And it leaves out millions of Americans who buy used or imported vehicles. It’s a clever incentive—not a transformative one.

Like much of the OBBBA, this provision is designed to reshape the market by rewarding specific behaviors: build in America, buy new, and stay within income thresholds.

It’s a marked shift from previous policies that favored green tech and foreign supply chains. But if lawmakers want to deliver real relief for everyday drivers, they’ll need to address the deeper issues: rising vehicle prices, high interest rates, and a complex regulatory environment.

Until then, the road to real reform remains under construction.


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